Before the 'March Madness' begins thought I would give everyone an idea of what the lottery picks and the draft are looking like right now. The Cavaliers are still sitting a top with the best chances to land the #1 overall pick. While our pick from he Clippers is giving The Cavaliers the 8th best set of odds. Depending on how the tournament plays out, we should know for sure who the Cavaliers will be drafting.
Cavaliers worst overall record is at least given them one thing. The best chances in the NBA Lottery to land the #1 pick. With the lottery system the Cavaliers have a 25% chance at the 1st overall pick, but protected enough to not slide past the #4 pick. The break down for the Cavaliers chances are as follows: 25% for the1st overall pick, 21.5% 2nd, 17.8% 3rd and a 35.7% chance for the 4th pick.
With Clippers pick in hand the Cavaliers have an extra opportunity to get a top 10 pick. Currently the Clippers have the 8th worst record in the NBA. If the Clippers were to finish there it would give the Cavaliers an extra 2.8% chance to obtain the 1st overall pick. As well as 3.3% for the 2nd and 3.9% for the 3rd. With the Clippers pick at 8th worst it gives them the best chase for the 8th overall pick with a 72.4% and then a 16.8% overall for the 9th pick.. The worst that could slide is to pick 10 with a .8% chance.
With Chad Ford's 'Mock Lottery' simulation, I did 10 simulations which gave the following results:
1st Overall - Duke PG Kyrie Irving
8th Overall - Kentucky SF Terrence Jones
2nd Overall - Duke PG Kyrie Irving
4th Overall - UNC SF Harrison Barnes
2nd Overall - Duke PG Kyrie Irving
8th Overall - Kentucky SF Terrence Jones
I'm a big fan of Blue Devil Kyrie Irving, he has 'star PG' potential and is the best true Point in the draft. Early on the season Irving had a toe injury that has taken him out of the picture for the majority of the season. When he is playing for Duke THIS is what he is capable of. There is rumor he may make a comeback this season during the tournament and if he does (and chooses to come out this season of course) be set for the top pick of the NBA draft.
*UPDATE* Coach K has announced Kyrie WILL play in round one of the Tournament.
Looking at the 2nd most chosen player in the simulation Terrence Jones SF of Kentucky, I can't help but get a positive feeling still smirking about the fact we took a top 10 pick from the Clippers. The AP's 'SEC Newcomer of the year' has a lot of potential and can make a huge impact on the Cav's by adding some serious talent to the Small Forward position. Check out HERE to see the damage he's been doing at Kentucky.
The other Small Forward is late bloomer Harrison Barnes. Barnes came into this season as the #1 freshman in the nation and was supposed to be the true 'Superstar' of this years draft. For the first half of the seasons questions were raised if Barnes would be a bust, but in the second half of the season Barnes ignited. At one point in the ACC tourney Barnes dropped 40 points against Clemson. This kid has been on fire for the past few weeks check it out HERE to see what he can do. A great tournament performance from him could send him into top 3 picks.
0 recs | 12 comments
I’m sure I’ll get to see more of Irving in the tournement, but as of now I don’t know much about him to be sold. I am however, absolutely sold on Kemba Walker. If Irving isn’t there for us, who would you guys take as the next PG? I would love if our draft shaked out to give us Barnes and Walker, like that better than Jones and Irving.
allovertheplace - March 15, 2011
I like Kemba
Feel he would be there with the Clippers pick.
The issue with him is he’s rumored to be under 6 ft tall.
Short or not, kid’s a beast.
C Byers - March 15, 2011
why a PG?
only thing this team seems to have thats decent right now (sorry Andy, but you’re out for the year) is a PG (Sessions, Davis). We absolutely need a "3! PF play isn’t bad and will improve with JJ moving back into position next year. With 2 very high picks (let’s hope it’s #1 and #8)- I’d go with best SF available and best 2 availble. Unless Sullinger comes out in which case I’d try and get him! How bout Sully and Barnes both?
CavsfaninDenver - March 15, 2011
I don’t think Baron Davis is a long term fix. Sessions did better here than in most places, but would you pass up on the best PG in the draft to keep him? My thoughts are that we get one of the top 2 PG’s, the best available SF, then that puts us in a position to package Sessions and AP for a serviceable SG. B. Davis can be a great mentor to a young PG, a SF like Barnes or Jones will contribute right away. Bottom line is that even though Sessions is nice, he’s not the PG of the future
allovertheplace - March 16, 2011
Love these picks
we could use a raw true point in irving and hes really talented why pass him up and i like either of the other two both big and physical and like to take the big shots! like the future cant wait for the draft ha all i get to look forward to as a cleveland fan!
Shaffdog - March 15, 2011
Id be happy with Irving and whoever has the better tourney out of Barnes and T.Jones
Chucky Brown - March 15, 2011
Why has nobody mentioned Derrick Williams?
Maybe I’m just biased because I went to UA, but he’s 6’8", 240, has an extremely quick first step, can finish with either hand, can play defense, and is unselfish. Assuming Cleveland gets the 1st and 8th picks, and Williams enters the draft, why not Williams and Alec Burks? Plug some holes at the 2 and 3. I’m not saying you guys are totally wrong, I’m just wondering why he’s not mentioned.
tarchdeacon - March 15, 2011
Williams is at an awkward spot for the Cavaliers
He will likely go a pick 3-5.
Thinking in this the order their drafted if we have the 1st and 8 pick:
Kyrie Irving
Jared Sullinger
Perry Jones
Derrick Williams
Enes Canter
Harrison Barnes
Jonas Valanciunas
Terrence Jones
Kid has a lot of talent but he’s just not #1 overall worthy, but won’t fall to us at 8.
C Byers - March 15, 2011
I have seen some projections of perry jones dropping down to 5 or 6, I only watched him occasionally and wasn’t all that impressed but who can argue with a guy who is 6"10 and moves like a guard. So I guess what I’m saying is if he and barnes are on the board for our second pick who are you going with? I’m saying jones. Also the word around cbus is that sullinger still plans to stay another year so how would that shake things up considering teams drafting for need over best available.
kgriff - March 17, 2011
My take on Jones.
We need someone who can put up a team on his back. To be a star.
Why didn’t Baylor make an off season tournament?
(I understand he was suspended at the end)
But if he really was ‘special’ and the guy u want to be your franchise I really think he should’ve been able to bring Baylor to a tournament, I mean they didn’t make the NIT. Now I understand that Barnes or Terrence Jones didn’t carry their teams by themselves, but they were both key contributors to get them to the high seeds they are.
C Byers - March 17, 2011
You guys still want Irving over Williams?
tarchdeacon - March 24, 2011
Depends on how Kemba Walker is.
Kyrie seems head and shoulders above the other PG’s.
While Williams is talented, Terrence Jones and Harrison Barnes are can compare pretty fair to Williams.
C Byers - March 26, 2011
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